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Charlie Sheehy vs Gabriel Flores Jr (boxing), November 15 on Polymarket US
This market will settle to the winner of the Charlie Sheehy vs Gabriel Flores Jr boxing bout scheduled for Nov 15, 2026. If the bout ends in a draw or technical draw, or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. Any post-fight changes to the official result, including overturned decisions or retroactive rulings, will not affect settlement once the market has settled. If the bout does not begin due to a cancellation or withdrawal, the market will settle to $0.50. If the bout is delayed or postponed and not rescheduled to a date within two days of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to $0.50. Outcome sourced from the official result announced by the bout's sa
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
| 98¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $0.10 | 98.2% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will win in the upcoming boxing event Charlie Sheehy vs Gabriel Flores Jr scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 3:00 AM UTC? | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 29, 08:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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