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Which Company Ranks #1 in Agent Arena end of November on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if Alibaba is ranked #1 by Rank on the Arena AI Agent leaderboard on November 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Arena AI. The ranking is determined by the "Rank" column of the Arena AI Agent leaderboard, with the "Labs" view selected (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent?rankBy=labs). Rankings on any other Arena AI leaderboard will not be considered. If multiple companies are tied on Rank, the company whose highest-ranked model has the highest Net Improvement (including any underlying, unrounded values reflected in the data below the leaderboard) will be considered ranked higher. If a tie remains, the company whose name, as listed in this market, co
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ (now) | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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