Markets › Polymarket US › Sports
Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if the Florida Gators qualify for the semifinals of the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament. If the listed team does not qualify for or compete in the tournament, the market will settle to No. If the tournament is cancelled, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from NCAA.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $4.46 | 6.5% |
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 33¢ | 33% | 2.1¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 35¢ | 35% | 2.2¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 48¢ | 48% | 2.4¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 14¢ | 14% | 1.2¢ | — | 29% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 24¢ | 24% | 1.7¢ | — | 47% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 24¢ | 24% | 1.7¢ | — | 47% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 12¢ | 12% | 1.0¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 55¢ | 55% | 2.4¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 15¢ | 15% | 1.2¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 14¢ | 14% | 1.1¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 12¢ | 12% | 1.0¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 22¢ | 22% | 1.6¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 8¢ | 8% | 0.7¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 7¢ | 7% | 0.6¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 15¢ | 15% | 1.2¢ | — | 31% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 9¢ | 9% | 0.8¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 49¢ | 49% | 2.4¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 8¢ | 8% | 0.7¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 9¢ | 9% | 0.8¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 7¢ | 7% | 0.6¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 69¢ | 69% | 2.0¢ | — | 62% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 4¢ | 4% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 10¢ | 10% | 0.9¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 7¢ | 7% | 0.6¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 41¢ | 41% | 2.3¢ | — | 83% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
| Men's College Basketball Final Four Qualifiers | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Apr 18, 03:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 73 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.