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Mountain West Football Championship Game Qualifiers on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Wyoming qualifies for the 2026 Mountain West Football Championship Game scheduled for December 4, 2026. Outcome sourced from Mountain West.

Market says (typical open contract)
8%
Median YES price across 7 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
16% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
8¢ (now)0.7¢$4.378.7%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Mountain West Football Championship Game Qualifiers27¢27%1.9¢—54%0Dec 19, 04:00 UTC
Mountain West Football Championship Game Qualifiers3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Dec 19, 04:00 UTC
Mountain West Football Championship Game Qualifiers72¢72%1.9¢—56%0Dec 19, 04:00 UTC
Mountain West Football Championship Game Qualifiers8¢8%0.7¢—16%0Dec 19, 04:00 UTC
Mountain West Football Championship Game Qualifiers2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Dec 19, 04:00 UTC
Mountain West Football Championship Game Qualifiers3¢3%0.3¢—6%0Dec 19, 04:00 UTC
Mountain West Football Championship Game Qualifiers92¢92%0.7¢—16%0Dec 19, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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