What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 14¢, about 1¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $4.08.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 15% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 14%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

NHL Western Conference Final Qualifiers on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if the Winnipeg Jets qualify for the Western Conference Final of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs. If the 2026-2027 NHL season is cancelled, suspended, or shortened such that the outcome cannot be determined, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from NHL.

Market says (typical open contract)

14%

Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

28% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
14¢ (now)	1.1¢	$4.08	15.1%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
NHL Western Conference Final Qualifiers	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 03, 03:00 UTC
NHL Western Conference Final Qualifiers	21¢	21%	1.6¢	—	42%	Jun 03, 03:00 UTC
NHL Western Conference Final Qualifiers	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Jun 03, 03:00 UTC
NHL Western Conference Final Qualifiers	17¢	17%	1.3¢	—	34%	Jun 03, 03:00 UTC
NHL Western Conference Final Qualifiers	16¢	16%	1.3¢	—	32%	Jun 03, 03:00 UTC
NHL Western Conference Final Qualifiers	14¢	14%	1.1¢	—	28%	Jun 03, 03:00 UTC
NHL Western Conference Final Qualifiers	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Jun 03, 03:00 UTC
NHL Western Conference Final Qualifiers	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Jun 03, 03:00 UTC
NHL Western Conference Final Qualifiers	21¢	21%	1.6¢	—	42%	Jun 03, 03:00 UTC
NHL Western Conference Final Qualifiers	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Jun 03, 03:00 UTC
NHL Western Conference Final Qualifiers	96¢	96%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 03, 03:00 UTC
NHL Western Conference Final Qualifiers	15¢	15%	1.2¢	—	30%	Jun 03, 03:00 UTC
NHL Western Conference Final Qualifiers	24¢	24%	1.7¢	—	48%	Jun 03, 03:00 UTC
NHL Western Conference Final Qualifiers	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 03, 03:00 UTC
NHL Western Conference Final Qualifiers	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 03, 03:00 UTC
NHL Western Conference Final Qualifiers	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Jun 03, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.