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Champions League League Phase Top Finisher on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if Villarreal CF finishes first (1st) in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. Outcome sourced from UEFA.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 144 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
8% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.4¢ | $4.56 | 4.4% |
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 31¢ | 31% | 2.0¢ | — | 62% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 60¢ | 60% | 2.3¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 4¢ | 4% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 15¢ | 15% | 1.2¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top Finisher | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top 8 Finishers | 4¢ | 4% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top 8 Finishers | 4¢ | 4% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top 8 Finishers | 7¢ | 7% | 0.6¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top 8 Finishers | 4¢ | 4% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
| Champions League League Phase Top 8 Finishers | 18¢ | 18% | 1.4¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Feb 11, 04:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 144 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.