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Will the Georgia Southern cover -41.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Georgia Southern covers a -41.5 point spread in the Georgia Southern vs Georgia State college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 3:30PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)
54%
Median YES price across 77 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
92% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
54¢ (now)2.4¢$2.1856.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will the Georgia Southern cover -41.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?9¢9%0.8¢—18%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -38.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?10¢10%0.8¢—19%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -35.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?10¢10%0.9¢—20%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -33.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?10¢10%0.9¢—21%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -30.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?8¢8%0.7¢—15%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -28.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?8¢8%0.7¢—17%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -27.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?10¢10%0.8¢—19%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -23.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?14¢14%1.2¢—29%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -21.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?17¢17%1.3¢—34%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -20.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?19¢19%1.5¢—38%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -19.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?20¢20%1.5¢—39%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -17.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?22¢22%1.6¢—44%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -16.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?24¢24%1.7¢—48%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -14.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?28¢28%1.9¢—57%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -13.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?32¢32%2.0¢—63%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -10.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?36¢36%2.2¢—71%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -9.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?40¢40%2.3¢—81%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -8.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?42¢42%2.3¢—85%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -7.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?42¢42%2.3¢—84%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -6.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?48¢48%2.4¢—97%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -5.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?50¢50%2.4¢—100%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -4.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?52¢52%2.4¢—95%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -3.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?56¢56%2.3¢—88%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -2.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?62¢62%2.2¢—75%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover -1.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?65¢65%2.2¢—70%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover 1.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?70¢70%2.0¢—59%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover 2.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?72¢72%1.9¢—55%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover 3.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?78¢78%1.7¢—45%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover 4.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?80¢80%1.5¢—40%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover 5.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?81¢81%1.5¢—38%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover 6.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?83¢83%1.3¢—34%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover 7.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?86¢86%1.1¢—27%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover 8.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?88¢88%1.0¢—24%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover 9.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?88¢88%1.0¢—23%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover 10.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?90¢90%0.9¢—20%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover 13.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?92¢92%0.7¢—15%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover 14.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?94¢94%0.5¢—11%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover 16.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?96¢96%0.4¢—8%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover 17.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?96¢96%0.3¢—7%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the Georgia Southern cover 19.5 vs the Georgia State in Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State?98¢98%0.1¢—3%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 77 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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