What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 81¢, about 1¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $0.90.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 82% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 81%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Exact Margin of Victory: Houston by 25+ on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Houston wins by a margin of 25+ points in the Houston vs Colorado college football game scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 10:15PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

81%

Median YES price across 51 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

38% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
81¢ (now)	1.5¢	$0.90	82.5%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Exact Margin of Victory: Houston by 25+	27¢	27%	1.9¢	—	54%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Houston by 19-24	16¢	16%	1.3¢	—	32%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Houston by 13-18	19¢	19%	1.5¢	—	38%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Houston by 7-12	21¢	21%	1.6¢	—	42%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Houston by 1-6	22¢	22%	1.6¢	—	44%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Colorado by 1-6	16¢	16%	1.3¢	—	32%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Colorado by 7-12	13¢	13%	1.1¢	—	26%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Colorado by 13-18	9¢	9%	0.8¢	—	18%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Colorado by 19-24	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Exact Margin of Victory: Colorado by 25+	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
First Team to Score Points: Houston	78¢	78%	1.6¢	—	44%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
First Team to Score Points: Colorado	53¢	53%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
First Team to Score Points: Neither Team	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
First Team to Score a Touchdown: Houston	81¢	81%	1.5¢	—	38%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
First Team to Score a Touchdown: Colorado	50¢	50%	2.4¢	—	100%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
First Team to Score a Touchdown: Neither Team	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns: Over 0.5	39¢	39%	2.3¢	—	78%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Overtime?: Over 0.5	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 0.5	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 1.5	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 2.5	49¢	49%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 0.5	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 1.5	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Field Goals Made: Over 2.5	49¢	49%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 200.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 225.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 250.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 200.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 225.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Passing Yards: Over 250.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 0.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 0.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 1.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 2.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 1.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Rushing Touchdowns: Over 2.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 1.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 2.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 0.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC
Team Total Passing Touchdowns: Over 1.5	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 28, 08:15 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 51 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.