What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 18¢, about 1¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $3.90.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 19% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 18%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will the NHL hockey game between Red Wings and Blues on 2026-11-10 go into Overtime on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if overtime is played in the DET Red Wings vs STL Blues NHL game scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 8:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from NHL.

Market says (typical open contract)

18%

Median YES price across 91 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

36% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
18¢ (now)	1.4¢	$3.90	19.4%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will the NHL hockey game between Red Wings and Blues on 2026-11-10 go into Overtime?	23¢	23%	1.7¢	—	46%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will DET Red Wings score the first goal in DET vs STL?	60¢	60%	2.3¢	—	80%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will STL Blues score the first goal in DET vs STL?	67¢	67%	2.1¢	—	66%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will DET vs STL see no goal in regulation or overtime?	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Alex DeBrincat record at least 1 points in DET vs STL?	62¢	62%	2.2¢	—	76%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Alex DeBrincat record at least 2 points in DET vs STL?	24¢	24%	1.7¢	—	48%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Alex DeBrincat record at least 3 points in DET vs STL?	9¢	9%	0.8¢	—	18%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Lucas Raymond record at least 1 points in DET vs STL?	61¢	61%	2.3¢	—	78%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Lucas Raymond record at least 2 points in DET vs STL?	24¢	24%	1.7¢	—	48%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Lucas Raymond record at least 3 points in DET vs STL?	9¢	9%	0.8¢	—	18%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Viktor Arvidsson record at least 1 points in DET vs STL?	53¢	53%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Viktor Arvidsson record at least 2 points in DET vs STL?	18¢	18%	1.4¢	—	36%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Robert Thomas record at least 1 points in DET vs STL?	67¢	67%	2.1¢	—	66%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Robert Thomas record at least 2 points in DET vs STL?	29¢	29%	2.0¢	—	58%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Robert Thomas record at least 3 points in DET vs STL?	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Jimmy Snuggerud record at least 1 points in DET vs STL?	59¢	59%	2.3¢	—	82%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Jimmy Snuggerud record at least 2 points in DET vs STL?	23¢	23%	1.7¢	—	46%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Mason McTavish record at least 1 points in DET vs STL?	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Mason McTavish record at least 2 points in DET vs STL?	19¢	19%	1.5¢	—	38%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Mason McTavish record at least 3 points in DET vs STL?	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Dylan Holloway record at least 1 points in DET vs STL?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Dylan Holloway record at least 2 points in DET vs STL?	20¢	20%	1.5¢	—	40%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Jake Neighbours record at least 1 points in DET vs STL?	48¢	48%	2.4¢	—	96%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Jake Neighbours record at least 2 points in DET vs STL?	16¢	16%	1.3¢	—	32%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Philip Broberg record at least 1 points in DET vs STL?	48¢	48%	2.4¢	—	96%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Philip Broberg record at least 2 points in DET vs STL?	15¢	15%	1.2¢	—	30%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Pavel Buchnevich record at least 1 points in DET vs STL?	47¢	47%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Pavel Buchnevich record at least 2 points in DET vs STL?	14¢	14%	1.1¢	—	28%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Connor McMichael record at least 1 points in DET vs STL?	43¢	43%	2.3¢	—	86%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Connor McMichael record at least 2 points in DET vs STL?	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Alex DeBrincat record at least 1 goals in DET vs STL?	36¢	36%	2.2¢	—	72%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Alex DeBrincat record at least 2 goals in DET vs STL?	9¢	9%	0.8¢	—	18%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Alex DeBrincat record at least 3 goals in DET vs STL?	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Lucas Raymond record at least 1 goals in DET vs STL?	32¢	32%	2.1¢	—	64%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Lucas Raymond record at least 2 goals in DET vs STL?	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Lucas Raymond record at least 3 goals in DET vs STL?	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Viktor Arvidsson record at least 1 goals in DET vs STL?	32¢	32%	2.1¢	—	64%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Viktor Arvidsson record at least 2 goals in DET vs STL?	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Viktor Arvidsson record at least 3 goals in DET vs STL?	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC
Will Emmitt Finnie record at least 1 goals in DET vs STL?	25¢	25%	1.8¢	—	50%	Nov 25, 06:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 91 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.