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Will Real Madrid (tizzy) defeat Man City (kkikus) in the eBattles: Club World Cup match scheduled for Nov 10, 2026 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to the winner of the Real Madrid (tizzy) vs Man City (kkikus) eBattles: Club World Cup match scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 11:59PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match is tied following full time, the market will settle to Draw. Extra time and penalty shootouts are not included if played. If the match is canceled, or if either team is played by a gamer other than the listed gamer, the market will settle to $0.33. If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to $0.33. Outcome sourced from ESportsBattle.

Market says (typical open contract)
13%
Median YES price across 3 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
26% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
13¢ (now)1.1¢$4.1314.1%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Real Madrid (tizzy) defeat Man City (kkikus) in the eBattles: Club World Cup match scheduled for Nov 10, 2026?76¢76%1.7¢—48%0Nov 14, 00:00 UTC
Will the Real Madrid (tizzy) vs Man City (kkikus) eBattles: Club World Cup match scheduled for Nov 10, 2026 end in a draw?13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Nov 14, 00:00 UTC
Will Man City (kkikus) defeat Real Madrid (tizzy) in the eBattles: Club World Cup match scheduled for Nov 10, 2026?13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Nov 14, 00:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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