What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 4¢, about 0¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $4.56.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 4% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 4%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will the NO Pelicans win the first half vs the GS Warriors on Polymarket US

This market will settle to the winner of the first half in the NO Pelicans vs GS Warriors professional basketball game scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If both teams score the same number of points in the first half, the market will settle to Tie. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 29 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

8% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
4¢ (now)	0.4¢	$4.56	4.4%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will the NO Pelicans win the first half vs the GS Warriors?	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the first half of NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors end in a tie?	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the GS Warriors win the first half vs the NO Pelicans?	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the NO Pelicans win the second half vs the GS Warriors?	47¢	47%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the second half of NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors end in a tie?	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the GS Warriors win the second half vs the NO Pelicans?	59¢	59%	2.3¢	—	82%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the NO Pelicans win the second quarter vs the GS Warriors?	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the second quarter of NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors end in a tie?	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the GS Warriors win the second quarter vs the NO Pelicans?	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the NO Pelicans win the third quarter vs the GS Warriors?	39¢	39%	2.3¢	—	78%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the third quarter of NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors end in a tie?	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the GS Warriors win the third quarter vs the NO Pelicans?	65¢	65%	2.2¢	—	70%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the NO Pelicans win the fourth quarter vs the GS Warriors?	53¢	53%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the fourth quarter of NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors end in a tie?	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the GS Warriors win the fourth quarter vs the NO Pelicans?	59¢	59%	2.3¢	—	82%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the NO Pelicans reach 90 points before the GS Warriors?	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the NO Pelicans reach 100 points before the GS Warriors?	34¢	34%	2.1¢	—	68%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the GS Warriors reach 100 points before the NO Pelicans?	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the GS Warriors reach 120 points before the NO Pelicans?	9¢	9%	0.8¢	—	18%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the NO Pelicans beat the GS Warriors by 1-5 points?	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the NO Pelicans beat the GS Warriors by 6-10 points?	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the NO Pelicans beat the GS Warriors by 11-15 points?	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the NO Pelicans beat the GS Warriors by 16-20 points?	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the NO Pelicans beat the GS Warriors by 21+ points?	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the GS Warriors beat the NO Pelicans by 1-5 points?	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the GS Warriors beat the NO Pelicans by 6-10 points?	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the GS Warriors beat the NO Pelicans by 11-15 points?	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the GS Warriors beat the NO Pelicans by 16-20 points?	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC
Will the GS Warriors beat the NO Pelicans by 21+ points?	86¢	86%	1.1¢	—	28%	Nov 24, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.