PredictMeNot
Theme

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will Buffalo Bills win the second half on Polymarket US

This market will settle to the winner of the second half in the Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings professional football game scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 8:15PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If both teams score the same number of points in the second half, the market will settle to Tie. Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 6 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)0.1¢$4.701.1%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Buffalo Bills win the second half?1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the second half end tied?1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will Minnesota Vikings win the second half?1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will Buffalo Bills win the fourth quarter?1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will the fourth quarter end tied?1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC
Will Minnesota Vikings win the fourth quarter?1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 06:15 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.