What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 8¢, about 1¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $4.37.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 9% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 8%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will Turkiye win against Belgium in the UEFA Nations League match scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to the winner at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the Turkiye vs Belgium UEFA Nations League match scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 12:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match is tied following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market will settle to Tie. If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UEFA.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 25 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

16% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
8¢ (now)	0.7¢	$4.37	8.7%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will Turkiye win against Belgium in the UEFA Nations League match scheduled for Nov 12, 2026?	25¢	25%	1.8¢	—	50%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will the UEFA Nations League match Turkiye vs Belgium scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 end in a draw?	24¢	24%	1.7¢	—	48%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will Belgium win against Turkiye in the UEFA Nations League match scheduled for Nov 12, 2026?	52¢	52%	2.4¢	—	96%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will TUR vs BEL finish Draw 0-0?	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will TUR vs BEL finish TUR wins 1-0?	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will TUR vs BEL finish BEL wins 1-0?	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will TUR vs BEL finish Draw 1-1?	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will TUR vs BEL finish TUR wins 2-0?	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will TUR vs BEL finish BEL wins 2-0?	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will TUR vs BEL finish TUR wins 2-1?	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will TUR vs BEL finish BEL wins 2-1?	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will TUR vs BEL finish Draw 2-2?	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will TUR vs BEL finish TUR wins 3-0?	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will TUR vs BEL finish BEL wins 3-0?	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will TUR vs BEL finish TUR wins 3-1?	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will TUR vs BEL finish BEL wins 3-1?	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will TUR vs BEL finish TUR wins 3-2?	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will TUR vs BEL finish BEL wins 3-2?	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will TUR vs BEL finish Other?	36¢	36%	2.2¢	—	72%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will Turkiye lead Belgium at halftime?	25¢	25%	1.8¢	—	50%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will TUR vs BEL be tied at halftime?	38¢	38%	2.2¢	—	76%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will Belgium lead Turkiye at halftime?	42¢	42%	2.3¢	—	84%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will Turkiye win the second half against Belgium?	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will the second half of TUR vs BEL be a draw?	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC
Will Belgium win the second half against Turkiye?	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Nov 26, 22:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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