What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 37¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $2.99.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 39% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 37%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Shedeur Sanders averages 11.5 or more fantasy points per game during the 2026 Pro Football regular season. Fantasy points will be calculated using ESPN's Fantasy Football League Points Per Reception (PPR) scoring system and reflect each player's per-game average for the 2026 Pro Football regular season. No minimum number of games played is required for eligibility. If the listed player does not appear in any regular season games, this market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from ESPN.

Market says (typical open contract)

37%

Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

74% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
37¢ (now)	2.2¢	$2.99	39.2%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	84¢	84%	1.3¢	—	32%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	56¢	56%	2.3¢	—	88%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	83¢	83%	1.3¢	—	34%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	36¢	36%	2.2¢	—	72%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	82¢	82%	1.4¢	—	36%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	14¢	14%	1.1¢	—	28%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	84¢	84%	1.3¢	—	32%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	49¢	49%	2.4¢	—	98%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	14¢	14%	1.1¢	—	28%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	21¢	21%	1.6¢	—	42%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	37¢	37%	2.2¢	—	74%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	21¢	21%	1.6¢	—	42%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	60¢	60%	2.3¢	—	80%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	17¢	17%	1.3¢	—	34%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	85¢	85%	1.2¢	—	30%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	63¢	63%	2.2¢	—	74%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	13¢	13%	1.1¢	—	26%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	31¢	31%	2.0¢	—	62%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	62¢	62%	2.2¢	—	76%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	12¢	12%	1.0¢	—	24%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	41¢	41%	2.3¢	—	82%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	62¢	62%	2.2¢	—	76%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	85¢	85%	1.2¢	—	30%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC
Fantasy PPG QB Over/Under	83¢	83%	1.3¢	—	34%	Jan 25, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.