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CoreWeave Q3 2026 Revenue on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if CoreWeave (CRWV) reports revenue above $3.50 billion for the third quarter of CoreWeave's fiscal year 2026. Outcome sourced from CoreWeave's official earnings documents. CoreWeave typically reports revenue as "Revenue". If CoreWeave reports revenue at more than one level of precision, the most precise figure is used. Revenue for other segments, products or regions, and guidance, do not count. If the figure is reported in more than one currency, the U.S. dollar figure counts. The figure is taken from CoreWeave’s filings on SEC EDGAR (Form 8-K, Form 10-Q or Form 10-K, or, for a foreign issuer, Form 6-K, Form 20-F or Form 40-F). If no EDGAR filing containing

Market says (typical open contract)
62%
Median YES price across 6 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
76% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
62¢ (now)2.2¢$1.8064.2%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
CoreWeave Q3 2026 Revenue?83¢83%1.3¢—34%0Nov 25, 04:00 UTC
CoreWeave Q3 2026 Revenue?98¢98%0.2¢—4%0Nov 25, 04:00 UTC
CoreWeave Q3 2026 Revenue?29¢29%2.0¢—58%0Nov 25, 04:00 UTC
CoreWeave Q3 2026 Revenue?20¢20%1.5¢—40%0Nov 25, 04:00 UTC
CoreWeave Q3 2026 Revenue?33¢33%2.1¢—66%0Nov 25, 04:00 UTC
CoreWeave Q3 2026 Revenue?62¢62%2.2¢—76%0Nov 25, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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