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Who will host SNL in December 2026 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Olivia Rodrigo is officially announced as a host of an episode of Saturday Night Live airing in December 2026. An official announcement from NBC or Saturday Night Live is sufficient; if Olivia Rodrigo is announced as host and is later replaced, or the episode does not air, the market will still settle to Yes. Hosting in any capacity, including as a co-host, counts. If Olivia Rodrigo has not been announced as host of a December 2026 episode by December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will settle to No. If the hosts of all December 2026 episodes are officially announced before that deadline, settlement will be accelerated. Outcome sourced from NBC.

Market says (typical open contract)
49%
Median YES price across 1 open contract, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
98% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
49¢ (now)2.4¢$2.4251.4%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Who will host SNL in December 2026?49¢49%2.4¢—98%0Jan 03, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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