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Will Prescription Drug Prices Fall in 2027 on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) for prescription drugs, U.S. city average, not seasonally adjusted, from December 2026 to December 2027, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Consumer Price Index release for December 2027, is less than 0.0 percent. Outcome sourced from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market settles based on the unadjusted 12-month percent change for prescription drugs published in the Bureau of Labor Statistics' monthly Consumer Price Index release, viewable at https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.toc.htm. Each month's figure is taken as first published; later revi
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 69¢ (now) | 2.0¢ | $1.47 | 71.0% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Prescription Drug Prices Fall in 2027? | 69¢ | 69% | 2.0¢ | — | 62% | 0 | Jan 27, 04:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.