What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 48¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $2.47.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 50% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 48%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Culture

Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo is officially nominated for Album of the Year at the 69th Annual Grammy Awards. Outcome sourced from the Recording Academy.

Market says (typical open contract)

48%

Median YES price across 19 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

96% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
48¢ (now)	2.4¢	$2.47	50.4%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	88¢	88%	1.0¢	—	24%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	85¢	85%	1.2¢	—	30%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	88¢	88%	1.0¢	—	24%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	89¢	89%	0.9¢	—	22%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	83¢	83%	1.3¢	—	34%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	60¢	60%	2.3¢	—	80%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	64¢	64%	2.2¢	—	72%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	25¢	25%	1.8¢	—	50%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	31¢	31%	2.0¢	—	62%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	22¢	22%	1.6¢	—	44%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	48¢	48%	2.4¢	—	96%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	27¢	27%	1.9¢	—	54%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	22¢	22%	1.6¢	—	44%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	26¢	26%	1.8¢	—	52%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Album of the Year	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Dec 01, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.