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Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Dracula (with JENNIE) - Tame Impala & JENNIE is officially nominated for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 69th Annual Grammy Awards. Outcome sourced from the Recording Academy.

Market says (typical open contract)
25%
Median YES price across 17 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
50% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
25¢ (now)1.8¢$3.5626.8%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance88¢88%1.0¢—24%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance93¢93%0.6¢—14%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance78¢78%1.6¢—44%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance84¢84%1.3¢—32%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance51¢51%2.4¢—98%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance65¢65%2.2¢—70%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance38¢38%2.2¢—76%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance25¢25%1.8¢—50%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance58¢58%2.3¢—84%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance21¢21%1.6¢—42%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance18¢18%1.4¢—36%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance16¢16%1.3¢—32%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance14¢14%1.1¢—28%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance6¢6%0.5¢—12%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance9¢9%0.8¢—18%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Duo/Group Performance13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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