PredictMeNot
Theme

Markets › Polymarket US › Culture

Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift is officially nominated for Best Pop Solo Performance at the 69th Annual Grammy Awards. Outcome sourced from the Recording Academy.

Market says (typical open contract)
16%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
32% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
16¢ (now)1.3¢$3.9917.3%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance88¢88%1.0¢—24%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance89¢89%0.9¢—22%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance62¢62%2.2¢—76%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance65¢65%2.2¢—70%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance20¢20%1.5¢—40%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance39¢39%2.3¢—78%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance16¢16%1.3¢—32%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance31¢31%2.0¢—62%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance8¢8%0.7¢—16%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance15¢15%1.2¢—30%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance8¢8%0.7¢—16%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC
Grammy Nominees: Best Pop Solo Performance4¢4%0.4¢—8%0Dec 01, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.