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Paolo Banchero on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if Paolo Banchero wins the NBA Cup Most Valuable Player Award for the 2026-27 NBA season. If Paolo Banchero ties with one or more other players, Yes contract holders receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied players, rounded down to the nearest cent, per contract. If the listed player does not win for any reason, the market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $4.51 | 5.5% |
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| James Harden | 7¢ | 7% | 0.6¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Dylan Harper | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Anthony Davis | 15¢ | 15% | 1.2¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Jalen Johnson | 14¢ | 14% | 1.1¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Stephon Castle | 4¢ | 4% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| LaMelo Ball | 15¢ | 15% | 1.2¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Domantas Sabonis | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Stephen Curry | 11¢ | 11% | 0.9¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Jalen Williams | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Kevin Durant | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| LeBron James | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Jaylen Brown | 4¢ | 4% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Kawhi Leonard | 4¢ | 4% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Joel Embiid | 15¢ | 15% | 1.2¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Josh Giddey | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Donovan Mitchell | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Tyrese Maxey | 17¢ | 17% | 1.3¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | 15¢ | 15% | 1.2¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Anthony Edwards | 4¢ | 4% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Jayson Tatum | 17¢ | 17% | 1.3¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 4¢ | 4% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Trae Young | 4¢ | 4% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Jalen Brunson | 15¢ | 15% | 1.2¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Cade Cunningham | 19¢ | 19% | 1.5¢ | — | 38% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Nikola Jokic | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Luka Doncic | 18¢ | 18% | 1.4¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Victor Wembanyama | 27¢ | 27% | 1.9¢ | — | 54% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 24¢ | 24% | 1.7¢ | — | 48% | 0 | Dec 24, 04:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.