Markets › Polymarket US › Sports
LeBron James on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if LeBron James wins the NBA Defensive Player of the Year Award for the 2026-27 NBA season. If LeBron James ties with one or more other players, Yes contract holders receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied players, rounded down to the nearest cent, per contract. If the listed player does not win for any reason, the market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $4.66 | 2.2% |
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Draymond Green | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Cooper Flagg | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Luguentz Dort | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Jalen Duren | 9¢ | 9% | 0.8¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Anthony Davis | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Alexandre Sarr | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Donovan Clingan | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Jaden McDaniels | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Dyson Daniels | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Walker Kessler | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Amen Thompson | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| OG Anunoby | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Scottie Barnes | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Evan Mobley | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Bam Adebayo | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Rudy Gobert | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Ausar Thompson | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Chet Holmgren | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
| Victor Wembanyama | 73¢ | 73% | 1.9¢ | — | 54% | 0 | Jul 03, 03:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.