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NBA Eastern Conference Champion on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if the Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Finals. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
8% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
4¢ (now)0.4¢$4.564.4%
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
NBA Eastern Conference Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Eastern Conference Champion9¢9%0.8¢—18%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Eastern Conference Champion24¢24%1.7¢—48%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Eastern Conference Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Eastern Conference Champion20¢20%1.5¢—40%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Eastern Conference Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Eastern Conference Champion5¢5%0.5¢—10%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Eastern Conference Champion4¢4%0.4¢—8%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Eastern Conference Champion11¢11%0.9¢—22%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Eastern Conference Champion6¢6%0.5¢—12%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Eastern Conference Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Eastern Conference Champion2¢2%0.2¢—4%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Eastern Conference Champion1¢1%0.1¢—2%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Eastern Conference Champion17¢17%1.3¢—34%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC
NBA Eastern Conference Champion4¢4%0.4¢—8%0Jun 13, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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