What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $4.66.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Jrue Holiday on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Jrue Holiday wins the NBA Sixth Man of the Year Award for the 2026-27 NBA season. If Jrue Holiday ties with one or more other players, Yes contract holders receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied players, rounded down to the nearest cent, per contract. If the listed player does not win for any reason, the market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

4% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
2¢ (now)	0.2¢	$4.66	2.2%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Jrue Holiday	19¢	19%	1.5¢	—	38%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Cason Wallace	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Alex Caruso	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Yaxel Lendeborg	17¢	17%	1.3¢	—	34%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Tim Hardaway Jr.	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Nikola Vucevic	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Kel'el Ware	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Isaiah Joe	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Daniss Jenkins	59¢	59%	2.3¢	—	82%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Aaron Wiggins	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Scoot Henderson	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Jerami Grant	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Jaylon Tyson	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Grayson Allen	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Bennedict Mathurin	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Terrence Shannon Jr.	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Reed Sheppard	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Keldon Johnson	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Jared McCain	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Bobby Portis	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Ace Bailey	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Collin Sexton	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Anthony Black	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
DeMar DeRozan	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Anfernee Simons	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Ayo Dosunmu	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Payton Pritchard	32¢	32%	2.1¢	—	64%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Dylan Harper	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC
Ajay Mitchell	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jul 03, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.