What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $4.66.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Charlie McAvoy wins the NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 regular season. If the listed player does not win for any reason, the market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from NHL.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 31 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

4% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
2¢ (now)	0.2¢	$4.66	2.2%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy Winner	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Zeev Buium	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Darren Raddysh	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Jakob Chychrun	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Moritz Seider	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Zach Werenski	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Victor Hedman	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Thomas Harley	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Shea Theodore	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Roman Josi	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Quinn Hughes	38¢	38%	2.2¢	—	76%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Philip Broberg	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Noah Dobson	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Mikhail Sergachev	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Morgan Rielly	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Miro Heiskanen	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Luke Hughes	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Jaccob Slavin	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Jake Sanderson	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Josh Morrissey	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Jackson LaCombe	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Dougie Hamilton	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Cam Fowler	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Adam Fox	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Cale Makar	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Matthew Schaefer	5¢	5%	0.5¢	—	10%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Rasmus Dahlin	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Lane Hutson	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Erik Karlsson	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Evan Bouchard	27¢	27%	1.9¢	—	54%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC
Brock Faber	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Jun 24, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.