What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 54¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $2.18.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 56% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 54%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 149.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Duke and Mich. State combine for over 149.5 points in the Duke vs Mich. State men's college basketball game scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 7:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

54%

Median YES price across 34 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

92% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
54¢ (now)	2.4¢	$2.18	56.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 149.5?	48¢	48%	2.4¢	—	96%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 151.5?	50¢	50%	2.4¢	—	100%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 147.5?	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 153.5?	51¢	51%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 145.5?	82¢	82%	1.4¢	—	36%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 155.5?	44¢	44%	2.3¢	—	88%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 143.5?	83¢	83%	1.3¢	—	34%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 157.5?	51¢	51%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 141.5?	80¢	80%	1.5¢	—	40%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 159.5?	47¢	47%	2.4¢	—	94%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 139.5?	93¢	93%	0.6¢	—	14%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 161.5?	35¢	35%	2.2¢	—	70%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 137.5?	95¢	95%	0.5¢	—	10%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 163.5?	38¢	38%	2.2¢	—	76%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 135.5?	93¢	93%	0.6¢	—	14%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 165.5?	29¢	29%	2.0¢	—	58%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 133.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 168.5?	30¢	30%	2.0¢	—	60%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 130.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 171.5?	41¢	41%	2.3¢	—	82%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 127.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 174.5?	35¢	35%	2.2¢	—	70%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 124.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 177.5?	32¢	32%	2.1¢	—	64%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 121.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 180.5?	43¢	43%	2.3¢	—	86%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 118.5?	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will the total in Duke vs. Mich. State be more than 148.5?	50¢	50%	2.4¢	—	100%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Duke score more than 78.5 points in Duke vs. Mich. State?	54¢	54%	2.4¢	—	92%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Duke score more than 80.5 points in Duke vs. Mich. State?	45¢	45%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Duke score more than 76.5 points in Duke vs. Mich. State?	60¢	60%	2.3¢	—	80%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Mich. State score more than 71.5 points in Duke vs. Mich. State?	55¢	55%	2.4¢	—	90%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Mich. State score more than 73.5 points in Duke vs. Mich. State?	49¢	49%	2.4¢	—	98%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC
Will Mich. State score more than 69.5 points in Duke vs. Mich. State?	63¢	63%	2.2¢	—	74%	Nov 25, 00:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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