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Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 164.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Florida and Florida State combine for over 164.5 points in the Florida vs Florida State men's college basketball game scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 6:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)
55%
Median YES price across 34 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
90% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
55¢ (now)2.4¢$2.1457.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 164.5?54¢54%2.4¢—92%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 166.5?50¢50%2.4¢—100%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 162.5?62¢62%2.2¢—76%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 168.5?46¢46%2.4¢—92%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 160.5?67¢67%2.1¢—66%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 170.5?41¢41%2.3¢—82%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 158.5?72¢72%1.9¢—56%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 172.5?36¢36%2.2¢—72%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 156.5?77¢77%1.7¢—46%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 174.5?32¢32%2.1¢—64%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 154.5?81¢81%1.5¢—38%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 176.5?28¢28%1.9¢—56%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 152.5?85¢85%1.2¢—30%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 178.5?24¢24%1.7¢—48%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 150.5?88¢88%1.0¢—24%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 180.5?20¢20%1.5¢—40%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 148.5?91¢91%0.8¢—18%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 183.5?16¢16%1.3¢—32%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 145.5?95¢95%0.5¢—10%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 186.5?12¢12%1.0¢—24%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 142.5?97¢97%0.3¢—6%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 189.5?9¢9%0.8¢—18%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 139.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 192.5?7¢7%0.6¢—14%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 136.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 195.5?10¢10%0.9¢—20%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 133.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will Florida score more than 87.5 points in Florida vs. Florida State?56¢56%2.3¢—88%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will Florida score more than 89.5 points in Florida vs. Florida State?51¢51%2.4¢—98%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will Florida score more than 85.5 points in Florida vs. Florida State?66¢66%2.1¢—68%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will Florida State score more than 77.5 points in Florida vs. Florida State?55¢55%2.4¢—90%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will Florida State score more than 79.5 points in Florida vs. Florida State?51¢51%2.4¢—98%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will Florida State score more than 75.5 points in Florida vs. Florida State?66¢66%2.1¢—68%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC
Will the total in Florida vs. Florida State be more than 165.5?54¢54%2.4¢—92%0Nov 24, 23:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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