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Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 9.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Boston College and Notre Dame combine for over 9.5 points in the first half of the Boston College vs Notre Dame college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 3:30PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)
66%
Median YES price across 102 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
68% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
66¢ (now)2.1¢$1.6168.1%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 9.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 20.5?91¢91%0.8¢—18%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 16.5?98¢98%0.2¢—4%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 23.5?81¢81%1.5¢—38%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 25.5?74¢74%1.8¢—52%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 24.5?75¢75%1.8¢—50%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 26.5?72¢72%1.9¢—56%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 27.5?67¢67%2.1¢—66%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 41.5?30¢30%2.0¢—60%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 30.5?59¢59%2.3¢—82%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 34.5?48¢48%2.4¢—96%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 25.5?64¢64%2.2¢—72%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 23.5?72¢72%1.9¢—56%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 26.5?63¢63%2.2¢—74%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 27.5?57¢57%2.3¢—86%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 24.5?65¢65%2.2¢—70%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 10.5?71¢71%2.0¢—58%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 11.5?71¢71%2.0¢—58%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 12.5?59¢59%2.3¢—82%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 13.5?56¢56%2.3¢—88%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 14.5?43¢43%2.3¢—86%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 10.5?89¢89%0.9¢—22%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 11.5?89¢89%0.9¢—22%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 12.5?88¢88%1.0¢—24%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 13.5?83¢83%1.3¢—34%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 14.5?68¢68%2.1¢—64%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 10.5?73¢73%1.9¢—54%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 11.5?73¢73%1.9¢—54%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 12.5?72¢72%1.9¢—56%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 13.5?68¢68%2.1¢—64%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 14.5?43¢43%2.3¢—86%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 10.5?72¢72%1.9¢—56%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 12.5?72¢72%1.9¢—56%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 11.5?72¢72%1.9¢—56%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 13.5?62¢62%2.2¢—76%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 14.5?34¢34%2.1¢—68%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 1.5?96¢96%0.4¢—8%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 5.5?87¢87%1.1¢—26%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 8.5?68¢68%2.1¢—64%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC
Will the total in Boston College vs. Notre Dame be more than 9.5?66¢66%2.1¢—68%0Nov 29, 01:30 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 102 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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