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Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 232.5 on Polymarket US
This market will settle to Yes if NO Pelicans and GS Warriors combine for over 232.5 points in the NO Pelicans vs GS Warriors professional basketball game scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). Overtime is included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.
Market says (typical open contract)
25%
Median YES price across 162 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
50% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $3.56 | 26.8% |
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 232.5? | 42¢ | 42% | 2.3¢ | — | 84% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 204.5? | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 206.5? | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 208.5? | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 210.5? | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 212.5? | 94¢ | 94% | 0.5¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 214.5? | 92¢ | 92% | 0.7¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 216.5? | 88¢ | 88% | 1.0¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 218.5? | 86¢ | 86% | 1.1¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 220.5? | 80¢ | 80% | 1.5¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 222.5? | 76¢ | 76% | 1.7¢ | — | 48% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 224.5? | 69¢ | 69% | 2.0¢ | — | 62% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 226.5? | 62¢ | 62% | 2.2¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 228.5? | 56¢ | 56% | 2.3¢ | — | 88% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 230.5? | 49¢ | 49% | 2.4¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 234.5? | 35¢ | 35% | 2.2¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 236.5? | 29¢ | 29% | 2.0¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 238.5? | 23¢ | 23% | 1.7¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 240.5? | 19¢ | 19% | 1.5¢ | — | 38% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 242.5? | 16¢ | 16% | 1.3¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 244.5? | 11¢ | 11% | 0.9¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 246.5? | 8¢ | 8% | 0.7¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 248.5? | 6¢ | 6% | 0.5¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 250.5? | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 252.5? | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 254.5? | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 256.5? | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 258.5? | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 260.5? | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 231.5? | 45¢ | 45% | 2.4¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the first half total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 131.5? | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the first half total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 133.5? | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the first half total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 135.5? | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the second quarter total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 46.5? | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the second quarter total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 48.5? | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the second quarter total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 50.5? | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the second quarter total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 52.5? | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the second quarter total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 54.5? | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the second quarter total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 56.5? | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
| Will the second quarter total in NO Pelicans vs. GS Warriors be more than 58.5? | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 24, 03:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 162 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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