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Will the total in AND vs GIB be more than 0.5 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Andorra and Gibraltar combine for over 0.5 goals during 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the Andorra vs Gibraltar UEFA Nations League match scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 2:45PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UEFA Nations League.

Market says (typical open contract)
57%
Median YES price across 26 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
86% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢2.4¢$2.3852.4%
57¢ (now)2.3¢$2.0459.3%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will the total in AND vs GIB be more than 0.5?86¢86%1.1¢—28%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will the total in AND vs GIB be more than 1.5?56¢56%2.3¢—88%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will the total in AND vs GIB be more than 2.5?30¢30%2.0¢—60%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will the total in AND vs GIB be more than 3.5?13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will the total in AND vs GIB be more than 4.5?15¢15%1.2¢—30%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will the total in AND vs GIB be more than 5.5?13¢13%1.1¢—26%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will the total in AND vs GIB be more than 0.5?57¢57%2.3¢—86%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will the total in AND vs GIB be more than 1.5?22¢22%1.6¢—44%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will the total in AND vs GIB be more than 2.5?7¢7%0.6¢—14%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will the total in AND vs GIB be more than 3.5?26¢26%1.8¢—52%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will the total in AND vs GIB be more than 4.5?10¢10%0.9¢—20%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will the total in AND vs GIB be more than 0.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will the total in AND vs GIB be more than 1.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will the total in AND vs GIB be more than 2.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will the total in AND vs GIB be more than 3.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will the total in AND vs GIB be more than 4.5?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will Andorra score more than 0.5 goals in 90 minutes plus stoppage time of AND vs GIB?77¢77%1.7¢—46%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will Andorra score more than 1.5 goals in 90 minutes plus stoppage time of AND vs GIB?41¢41%2.3¢—82%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will Andorra score more than 2.5 goals in 90 minutes plus stoppage time of AND vs GIB?19¢19%1.5¢—38%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will Gibraltar score more than 0.5 goals in 90 minutes plus stoppage time of AND vs GIB?58¢58%2.3¢—84%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will Gibraltar score more than 1.5 goals in 90 minutes plus stoppage time of AND vs GIB?20¢20%1.5¢—40%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will Gibraltar score more than 2.5 goals in 90 minutes plus stoppage time of AND vs GIB?23¢23%1.7¢—46%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will Andorra score more than 0.5 goals in the first half of AND vs GIB?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will Andorra score more than 1.5 goals in the first half of AND vs GIB?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will Gibraltar score more than 0.5 goals in the first half of AND vs GIB?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC
Will Gibraltar score more than 1.5 goals in the first half of AND vs GIB?99¢99%0.1¢—2%0Nov 27, 19:45 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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