Markets › Polymarket US › Crypto
XRP Up or Down, weekly on Polymarket US
A new market every weekly. "Up" pays $1 if the CF Benchmarks XRP index, averaged over the last 60 seconds of the window, is above the price at the open; "Down" pays $1 otherwise.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 54 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
50%
Five-minute and fifteen-minute moves have no measurable predictability; our own 30-day test of the most popular entry rule lost on 76% of trades.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
A coin flip with a cover charge. Skill contributes nothing at this horizon; the fee always does.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $4.46 | 6.5% |
| 30¢ | 2.0¢ | $3.32 | 32.0% |
| 50¢ | 2.4¢ | $2.38 | 52.4% |
| 70¢ | 2.0¢ | $1.43 | 72.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.9¢ | $0.47 | 90.9% |
Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How high will XRP get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13? | 10¢ | 10% | 0.9¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| How high will XRP get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13? | 9¢ | 9% | 0.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| How high will XRP get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13? | 7¢ | 7% | 0.6¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| How high will XRP get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13? | 6¢ | 6% | 0.5¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| How low will XRP get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13? | 6¢ | 6% | 0.5¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| How low will XRP get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13? | 7¢ | 7% | 0.6¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| How low will XRP get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13? | 11¢ | 11% | 0.9¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| How low will XRP get by 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13? | 30¢ | 30% | 2.0¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price Range at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price Range at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price Range at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.3¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price Range at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.5¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.5¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price Range at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.7¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 9¢ | 9% | 0.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price Range at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 7¢ | 7% | 0.6¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 12¢ | 12% | 1.0¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price Range at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 14¢ | 14% | 1.1¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.4¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price Range at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 21¢ | 21% | 1.6¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 83¢ | 83% | 1.3¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price Range at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 34¢ | 34% | 2.1¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 55¢ | 55% | 2.4¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price Range at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 32¢ | 32% | 2.1¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 30¢ | 30% | 2.0¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price Range at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 20¢ | 20% | 1.5¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 14¢ | 14% | 1.1¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price Range at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 11¢ | 11% | 0.9¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.9¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price Range at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 7¢ | 7% | 0.6¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.7¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price Range at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 7¢ | 7% | 0.6¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 7¢ | 7% | 0.6¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price Range at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.5¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.5¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price Range at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.5¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
| XRP Price at 5:00PM ET on Fri, Nov 13 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.5¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 13, 22:30 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 54 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.